It’s a busy day, however there’s one story this morning that’s hogging all the eye at Westminster, eclipsing even one other spate of warning a couple of no-deal Brexit (such because the IFS saying it might ship authorities debt to its highest degree for half a century, because the Guardian stories, or HM Income and Customs saying it might value companies £15bn in form-filling, because the FT stories). The zinger is James Forsyth’s publication on the Spectator web site final night time of a really lengthy message from somebody he describes as “a contact in No 10” setting out the within Downing Road view on the place the Brexit talks are going.
On the Immediately programme this morning Amber Rudd, the previous Tory work and pensions secretary, stated that she thought the creator was Dominic Cummings, Johnson’s de facto chief of employees. Requested if she thought he had written it, she replied:
I believe Dominic Cummings, sure, as a result of in any other case it might have been closely denied and heads would have rolled. So clearly it’s come from them, it’s of their model.
Rudd’s assumption is one which that will probably be extensively shared – if not universally shared – within the Westminster ecosystem. I’ll come again to why later.
And I’ll put up a full abstract of the message quickly. However right here is probably the most incendiary paragraph, wherein the No 10 supply implies the UK would withhold cooperation from any EU international locations that assist a Brexit extension. The supply says:
We are going to clarify privately and publicly that international locations which oppose delay will go the entrance of the queue for future cooperation — cooperation on issues each inside and out of doors EU competences. Those that assist delay will go to the underside of the queue. [This source also made clear that defence and security cooperation will inevitably be affected if the EU tries to keep Britain in against the will of its government] Supporting delay will probably be seen by this authorities as hostile interference in home politics, and over half of the general public will agree with us.
Provided that in the meanwhile there’s an assumption that the EU27 will unanimously agree a Brexit extension, that will imply the entire of the EU going to the “backside of the queue” for cooperation.
Right here is the agenda for the day.
9.30am: Boris Johnson chairs cupboard.
9.30am: The court docket of session in Edinburgh hears an attraction in opposition to the choice yesterday in opposition to a choice by the court docket to not situation an order compelling Johnson to adjust to the Benn Act. The court docket may even hear a separate however associated case, a “nobile officium” petition saying judges ought to take the the facility to signal a letter to the EU requesting a Brexit as a substitute instead of the PM.
9.30am: The Institute for Fiscal Research holds a briefing on its inexperienced price range. As Richard Partington stories, it says emergency tax cuts and better public spending to offset the influence of a no-deal Brexit would ship authorities debt to its highest degree in additional than half a century.
9.30am: Representatives of the seafood business, and the fishing minister George Eustice, give proof to the worldwide commerce committee a couple of no-deal Brexit.
10am: Shanker Singham from the Various Preparations Fee and different commerce specialists give proof to the Commons dwelling affairs committee about Brexit.
10am: Teachers from the British Election Examine maintain a briefing on predicting the following election.
After 12.30pm: Michael Gove, the Cupboard Workplace minister, is predicted to make a Commons assertion about Brexit no-deal planning.
1pm: Paschal Donohoe, the Irish finance minister, presents his price range for subsequent 12 months, together with particulars of no-deal contingencies.
5pm: Johnson meets David Sassoli, president of the European parliament, in Downing Road.
Night: Parliament prorogues.
As ordinary, I will probably be overlaying breaking political information because it occurs, in addition to bringing you the perfect response, remark and evaluation from the net, though I will probably be focusing totally on Brexit. I plan to publish a abstract after I wrap up.
You may learn all the most recent Guardian politics articles right here. Right here is the Politico Europe roundup of this morning’s political information. And right here is the PoliticsHome listing of at present’s prime 10 must-reads.
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