In her ultimate few weeks in workplace Theresa Could has not been commenting on the Conservative management contest and, because of this, she has change into a near-invisible presence in our media, as a result of the statements she is making aren’t deemed attention-grabbing and aren’t being reported. Philip Hammond, the chancellor, may even be out of workplace by the top of the month. However, not like Could, he’s going down combating, and in his speech to the annual Mansion Home dinner tonight he’s going to successfully accuse all remaining Tory management candidates of failing to be sincere with the general public. And he’s additionally going to inform them, in phrases, that holding a second referendum stands out as the solely choice accessible to them.
By the point Hammond delivers his speech, the 2 ultimate management ballots for Tory MPs may have concluded and we’ll know the names of the 2 candidates on the poll paper for celebration members. Boris Johnson shall be considered one of them. The opposite will virtually actually be Jeremy Hunt or Michael Gove; Sajid Javid, the fourth particular person nonetheless within the race, is predicted to be out by lunchtime.
For the final week or so Rory Stewart has been taking part in the position “Brexit fact oracle” in Tory politics, declaring the plain flaws within the glib ‘renegotiate the backstop’ plans being championed by all the primary management candidates. For his pains Stewart acquired booted out of the competition final night time, receiving simply 27 votes. As he takes on the voice of fact position tonight, Hammond will say:
There are some immutable truths that can proceed to form the Brexit debate over the approaching months, irrespective of who’s chief of the Tory celebration:
First, except there’s a common election, the parliamentary arithmetic is not going to change. Parliament is not going to permit no-deal; and on the proof up to now, parliament is not going to assist the one deal that’s on the desk;
Secondly, the European Union is not going to renegotiate the deal.
And, thirdly, the Irish query, and with it the backstop, is not going to go away.
It could be that I’m improper, and a brand new chief will persuade parliament to simply accept the deal it has already rejected.
Or that the European Union does a 180-degree U-turn and re-opens the withdrawal settlement.
But when I’m not, if the deal the present PM has negotiated is, in truth, the most effective deal doable; and parliament continues to reject each it and no-deal, then the query to the candidates is just not “What’s your plan?”; however “What’s your plan B?”.
In case your plan A is undeliverable, not having a plan B is like not having a plan in any respect.
So, the candidates should be sincere with the general public. They should recognise and deal with the troublesome trade-offs inherent in delivering Brexit …
If the brand new prime minister can’t finish the impasse in parliament, then he must discover different democratic mechanisms to interrupt the deadlock.
As a result of if he fails, his job shall be on the road – and so, too, will the roles and prosperity of thousands and thousands of our fellow residents.
As my colleague Jessica Elgot experiences, Hammond may even say that, if a brand new prime minister does go for a no-deal Brexit, there shall be no cash accessible for additional spending or tax cuts.
Right here is the agenda for the day.
9.30am: Michael Gove, the surroundings secretary and a Tory management contender, takes questions within the Commons.
9.30am: Jeremy Hunt, the international secretary and one other Tory management contender, speaks at a Decision Basis occasion on intergenerational equality.
10am: Tory MPs begin voting within the fourth management poll. Voting closes at 12pm, and the outcome shall be introduced at about 1pm.
Lunchtime: EU leaders begin arriving for his or her summit in Brussels.
3.30pm: Tory MPs begin voting within the fifth management poll. Voting closes at 5.30pm, and the outcome shall be introduced at about 6pm.
As standard, I shall be masking breaking political information because it occurs, in addition to bringing you the most effective response, remark and evaluation from the net, though I shall be focusing virtually completely totally on the Tory management contest.
You’ll be able to learn all the most recent Guardian politics articles right here. Right here is the Politico Europe roundup of this morning’s political information. And right here is the PoliticsHome listing of in the present day’s high 10 must-reads.
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